EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Maccabi Tel Aviv

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Model prediction for 27 October

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet77%
Maccabi Tel Aviv23%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 91:83 — 174 points in total.

Over 173.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet +0.1, Maccabi Tel Aviv −5.3 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Maccabi Tel Aviv91.4–82.6
Total over 173.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 173.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Maccabi Tel Aviv points
  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

  • 13.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne84:82
  • 08.10away · Dubai77:58
  • 01.10Anadolu Efes77:72
  • 29.09Hapoel Tel Aviv80:81
  • 24.09Zalgiris Kaunas77:83

Maccabi Tel Aviv

  • 13.10away · Barcelona87:90
  • 08.10Olimpia Milano97:79
  • 02.10away · Panathinaikos67:90
  • 30.09Besiktas93:109
  • 24.09away · Lyon-Villeurbanne74:84

Head to head

  • 06.02.2026Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Maccabi Tel Aviv82:83
  • 30.10.2025Maccabi Tel Aviv — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet92:99
  • 23.01.2025Maccabi Tel Aviv — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet85:73
  • 20.12.2024Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Maccabi Tel Aviv81:73
  • 14.03.2024Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Maccabi Tel Aviv80:84

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsValencia541.8001
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet532.6002
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsPartizan Mozzart Bet532.6002
17Bayern413.2503.5
18Maccabi Tel Aviv514.2004
19Baskonia514.2004

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

  • DubaiParispreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.1
  • BayernBarcelonapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —171.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —172.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →