VTB United League (basketball) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Dynamo Vladivostok — Zenit Petersburg

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Model prediction for 30 October

Dynamo Vladivostok9%
Zenit Petersburg91%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Zenit Petersburg are clear favourites: 91% against 9% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 79:96 — 174 points in total.

Over 174.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Dynamo Vladivostok −6.9, Zenit Petersburg +11.5 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Dynamo Vladivostok — No. 8, 1–2; Zenit Petersburg — No. 3, 3–1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Dynamo Vladivostok — Zenit Petersburg78.9–95.6
Total over 174.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 174.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Dynamo Vladivostok points
  • Zenit Petersburg points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Dynamo Vladivostok

  • 14.10CSKA Moscow88:103
  • 04.10away · Samara98:84
  • 30.09away · Unics Kazan75:117

Zenit Petersburg

  • 11.10Saratov91:71
  • 07.10Parma Perm99:85
  • 04.10away · Unics Kazan60:95
  • 25.09Uralmash Ekaterinburg92:68
  • 12.06Lokomotiv Kuban76:84

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsUnics Kazan431.7501
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZenit Petersburg431.7501
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLokomotiv Kuban321.6671.5
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMBA Moscow312.3332.5
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDynamo Vladivostok312.3332.5
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsUralmash Ekaterinburg413.2503

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 91% will not happen in roughly 9 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →