NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

Flamengo — Botafogo

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Model prediction for 21 October

Flamengo93%
Botafogo7%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Flamengo are clear favourites: 93% against 7% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 92:73 — 166 points in total.

Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Flamengo +7.4, Botafogo −8.6 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Flamengo — Botafogo92.5–73.4
Total over 165.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 165.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Flamengo points
  • Botafogo points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Flamengo

  • 16.05away · Brasilia69:72
  • 14.05away · Brasilia96:88
  • 10.05Brasilia90:98
  • 09.05Brasilia83:66
  • 06.05away · Brasilia80:85

Botafogo

  • 28.04Franca78:82
  • 26.04Franca79:89
  • 23.04away · Franca68:94
  • 18.04away · Vasco86:104
  • 12.04Flamengo89:102

Head to head

  • 12.04.2026Botafogo — Flamengo89:102
  • 30.12.2025Flamengo — Botafogo104:71
  • 29.03.2025Botafogo — Flamengo85:92
  • 14.11.2024Flamengo — Botafogo91:67
  • 27.04.2024Flamengo — Botafogo78:56

Full record: 9 meetings →

NBB on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.0
  • CearenseOsascopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 93% will not happen in roughly 7 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →