NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Flamengo — Caxias do Sul

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Model prediction for 31 October

Flamengo85%
Caxias do Sul15%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Flamengo are clear favourites: 85% against 15% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 86:73 — 158 points in total.

Over 158.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Flamengo +7.4, Caxias do Sul −3.0 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Flamengo — Caxias do Sul85.9–72.5
Total over 158.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 158.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Flamengo points
  • Caxias do Sul points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Flamengo

  • 16.05away · Brasilia69:72
  • 14.05away · Brasilia96:88
  • 10.05Brasilia90:98
  • 09.05Brasilia83:66
  • 06.05away · Brasilia80:85

Caxias do Sul

  • 01.05away · Brasilia70:71
  • 28.04Brasilia66:63
  • 25.04Brasilia70:78
  • 23.04away · Brasilia64:73
  • 18.04Corinthians Paulista79:92

Head to head

  • 03.04.2026Caxias do Sul — Flamengo76:74
  • 06.12.2025Flamengo — Caxias do Sul91:66
  • 03.05.2025Caxias do Sul — Flamengo63:86
  • 30.04.2025Flamengo — Caxias do Sul80:77
  • 27.04.2025Flamengo — Caxias do Sul76:78

Full record: 16 meetings →

NBB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →