NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Botafogo — Uniao Corinthians

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Model prediction for 31 October

Botafogo41%
Uniao Corinthians59%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Uniao Corinthians are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

The model expects a score around 79:82 — 161 point in total.

Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Botafogo −8.6, Uniao Corinthians −2.9 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Botafogo — Uniao Corinthians79.3–82.1
Total over 160.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 160.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Botafogo points
  • Uniao Corinthians points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Botafogo

  • 28.04Franca78:82
  • 26.04Franca79:89
  • 23.04away · Franca68:94
  • 18.04away · Vasco86:104
  • 12.04Flamengo89:102

Uniao Corinthians

  • 01.05away · Flamengo77:104
  • 28.04Flamengo77:90
  • 26.04Flamengo84:83
  • 23.04away · Flamengo72:102
  • 18.04Sao Jose97:88

Head to head

  • 25.03.2026Uniao Corinthians — Botafogo71:78
  • 14.12.2025Botafogo — Uniao Corinthians61:84
  • 08.02.2025Uniao Corinthians — Botafogo90:77
  • 07.11.2024Botafogo — Uniao Corinthians71:80
  • 20.01.2024Botafogo — Uniao Corinthians77:78

Full record: 6 meetings →

NBB on the same day

  • PaulistanoBaurupreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.7
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —158.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →