NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Golden State Warriors — Memphis Grizzlies

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Model prediction for 24 October

Golden State Warriors61%
Memphis Grizzlies39%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Golden State Warriors are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 121:118 — 239 points in total.

Over 238.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Golden State Warriors without Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody: that costs the team about 8.3 points a game.
  • Pace: Golden State Warriors 100.0, Memphis Grizzlies 104.7 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Golden State Warriors — Memphis Grizzlies121.4–117.6
Total over 238.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 238.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Golden State Warriors

  • 18.04away · Phoenix Suns96:111
  • 16.04away · Los Angeles Clippers126:121
  • 13.04away · Los Angeles Clippers110:115
  • 11.04away · Sacramento Kings118:124
  • 10.04Los Angeles Lakers103:119

Memphis Grizzlies

  • 13.04away · Houston Rockets101:132
  • 11.04away · Utah Jazz101:147
  • 09.04away · Denver Nuggets119:136
  • 07.04Cleveland Cavaliers126:142
  • 05.04away · Milwaukee Bucks115:131

Head to head

  • 26.02.2026Memphis Grizzlies — Golden State Warriors112:133
  • 10.02.2026Golden State Warriors — Memphis Grizzlies114:113
  • 28.10.2025Golden State Warriors — Memphis Grizzlies131:118
  • 16.04.2025Golden State Warriors — Memphis Grizzlies121:116
  • 02.04.2025Memphis Grizzlies — Golden State Warriors125:134

Full record: 32 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →