NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Washington Wizards — Toronto Raptors

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Model prediction for 24 October

Washington Wizards36%
Toronto Raptors64%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Toronto Raptors are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 113:118 — 231 point in total.

Over 230.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Washington Wizards without Jamir Watkins: that costs the team about 3.4 points a game.
  • Pace: Washington Wizards 105.7, Toronto Raptors 100.8 possessions per 48 minutes.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Washington Wizards 1 win, Toronto Raptors 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Washington Wizards — Toronto Raptors113.2–118.2
Total over 230.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 230.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Washington Wizards

  • 13.04away · Cleveland Cavaliers117:130
  • 11.04Miami Heat117:140
  • 10.04Chicago Bulls108:119
  • 08.04Chicago Bulls98:129
  • 05.04away · Brooklyn Nets115:121

Toronto Raptors

  • 04.05away · Cleveland Cavaliers102:114
  • 02.05Cleveland Cavaliers112:110
  • 30.04away · Cleveland Cavaliers120:125
  • 26.04Cleveland Cavaliers93:89
  • 24.04Cleveland Cavaliers126:104

Head to head

  • 01.03.2026Washington Wizards — Toronto Raptors125:134
  • 27.12.2025Washington Wizards — Toronto Raptors138:117
  • 22.11.2025Toronto Raptors — Washington Wizards140:110
  • 25.03.2025Washington Wizards — Toronto Raptors104:112
  • 11.03.2025Toronto Raptors — Washington Wizards119:104

Full record: 23 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →