Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Wednesday, 14 October, 21:00 MSK

Joventut Badalona — MoraBanc Andorra

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Model prediction for 14 October

Joventut Badalona78%

MoraBanc Andorra22%

Model estimate at 10:05 MSK

In short

Joventut Badalona are clear favourites: 78% against 22% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 94:85 — 178 points in total.

Over 177.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Joventut Badalona +1.3, MoraBanc Andorra −4.6 points in regulation.

Facts

League table: Joventut Badalona — No. 17, 0–2; MoraBanc Andorra — No. 16, 0–2.
Joventut Badalona: 5 defeats in a row; MoraBanc Andorra: 3 defeats in a row.
Last 5 meetings: Joventut Badalona 5 wins, MoraBanc Andorra 0.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Joventut Badalona — MoraBanc Andorra		93.8–84.6
Total over 177.5 (incl. OT)		51%
Total under 177.5 (incl. OT)		49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Joventut Badalona points
MoraBanc Andorra points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Joventut Badalona

11.10away · Baskonia73:93
27.09away · Breogan104:110
14.06Valencia75:87
12.06away · Valencia76:90
10.06away · Valencia117:118

MoraBanc Andorra

10.10away · Unicaja84:92
26.09Obradoiro CAB85:90
29.05Barcelona95:100
24.05away · Forca Lleida116:88
17.05San Pablo Burgos83:85

Head to head

14.05.2026Joventut Badalona — MoraBanc Andorra101:79
23.11.2025MoraBanc Andorra — Joventut Badalona76:83
05.04.2025MoraBanc Andorra — Joventut Badalona86:99
11.01.2025Joventut Badalona — MoraBanc Andorra93:86
27.01.2024MoraBanc Andorra — Joventut Badalona79:86

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
15	Murcia	3	1	2	.333	2
16	MoraBanc Andorra	2	0	2	.000	2.5
17, Relegation	Joventut Badalona	2	0	2	.000	2.5
18, Relegation	Manresa	3	0	3	.000	3

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →