EuroCup (basketball) · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Kalnapilio arena
Lietkabelis — PAOK
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 95:86: the model's most likely outcome, PAOK to win (50% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 50% fails in about 50 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Lietkabelis 50%, PAOK 50%.
The model expects a score around 81:81 — 162 points in total.
Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Lietkabelis −5.9, PAOK −3.3 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Lietkabelis — PAOK | 81.0–81.1 | |
| Total over 161.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 161.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Lietkabelis points
- PAOK points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 07.10away · BC Roma87:92
- 30.09KK Bosna75:72
- 11.02away · London Lions66:58
- 04.02Panionios89:62
- 27.01away · Turk Telekom75:85
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Group D
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Bahcesehir Kol. | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | BC Roma | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs | Lietkabelis | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs | PAOK | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 5 | Ulm | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 6 | Manresa | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 7 | KK Bosna | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.5 |
| 8 | Balkan | 0 | 3 | .000 | 3 |
Next matches
- BalkanLietkabelis20 October · EuroCup38622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —164.8
- PAOKUlm21 October · EuroCup · preliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.9
EuroCup on the same day
- 82181The most likely outcome came true: 1100:88Final score 100:88. Model's score: —.169.3
- 34662The most likely outcome did not happen: 293:89Final score 93:89. Model's score: —.170.2
- 77231The most likely outcome came true: 177:72OTFinal score 77:72 in overtime. Model's score: —.172.1
- 55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 180:88Final score 80:88. Model's score: —.157.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →