VTB United League (basketball) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Lokomotiv Kuban — Zenit Petersburg

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Model prediction for 18 October

Lokomotiv Kuban48%
Zenit Petersburg52%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Lokomotiv Kuban 48%, Zenit Petersburg 52%.

The model expects a score around 86:86 — 172 points in total.

Over 170.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Lokomotiv Kuban +9.4, Zenit Petersburg +11.6 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Lokomotiv Kuban — Zenit Petersburg85.5–86.1
Total over 170.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 170.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Lokomotiv Kuban points
  • Zenit Petersburg points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Lokomotiv Kuban

  • 11.10away · CSKA Moscow84:87
  • 03.10MBA Moscow92:87
  • 27.09Enisey81:66
  • 12.06away · Zenit Petersburg84:76
  • 09.06Zenit Petersburg91:85

Zenit Petersburg

  • 11.10Saratov91:71
  • 07.10Parma Perm99:85
  • 04.10away · Unics Kazan60:95
  • 25.09Uralmash Ekaterinburg92:68
  • 12.06Lokomotiv Kuban76:84

Head to head

  • 12.06.2026Zenit Petersburg — Lokomotiv Kuban76:84
  • 09.06.2026Lokomotiv Kuban — Zenit Petersburg91:85
  • 07.06.2026Lokomotiv Kuban — Zenit Petersburg85:81
  • 03.06.2026Zenit Petersburg — Lokomotiv Kuban64:61
  • 01.06.2026Zenit Petersburg — Lokomotiv Kuban82:80

Full record: 38 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsUnics Kazan431.7500.5
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZenit Petersburg431.7500.5
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLokomotiv Kuban321.6671
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsParma Perm422.5001.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

VTB United League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →