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VTB United League (basketball) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Saratov — MBA Moscow

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Model prediction for 18 October

Saratov30%
MBA Moscow70%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

MBA Moscow are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 76:83 — 159 points in total.

Over 158.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Saratov −7.4, MBA Moscow +0.8 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Saratov — No. 6, 2–2; MBA Moscow — No. 8, 1–2.
  • Last 5 meetings: Saratov 1 win, MBA Moscow 4.
  • Days of rest before the match: Saratov 7, MBA Moscow 5.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Saratov — MBA Moscow76.3–82.9
Total over 158.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 158.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Saratov points
  • MBA Moscow points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Saratov

  • 11.10away · Zenit Petersburg71:91
  • 06.10away · Enisey74:72
  • 30.09Uralmash Ekaterinburg75:80
  • 26.09Samara77:69
  • 22.04away · Uralmash Ekaterinburg54:86

MBA Moscow

  • 13.10Parma Perm93:91
  • 03.10away · Lokomotiv Kuban87:92
  • 27.09CSKA Moscow65:82
  • 02.05Unics Kazan63:74
  • 28.04away · Unics Kazan63:83

Head to head

  • 25.03.2026Saratov — MBA Moscow73:91
  • 10.12.2025MBA Moscow — Saratov95:90
  • 19.11.2025MBA Moscow — Saratov77:73
  • 02.11.2025Saratov — MBA Moscow75:80
  • 06.04.2025Saratov — MBA Moscow88:69

Full record: 15 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsParma Perm422.5002
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSaratov422.5002
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsEnisey312.3332.5
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMBA Moscow312.3332.5
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDynamo Vladivostok312.3332.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

VTB United League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →