VTB United League (basketball) · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · Krylatskoe Sport Palace
MBA Moscow — Parma Perm
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 93:91: the model's most likely outcome, Parma Perm to win (66% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 66% fails in about 34 matches out of 100 on average.
Parma Perm are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 81:86 — 167 points in total.
Over 165.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: MBA Moscow +0.4, Parma Perm +7.1 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): MBA Moscow — Parma Perm | 80.8–85.9 | |
| Total over 165.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 165.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- MBA Moscow points
- Parma Perm points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 03.10away · Lokomotiv Kuban87:92
- 27.09CSKA Moscow65:82
- 02.05Unics Kazan63:74
- 28.04away · Unics Kazan63:83
- 26.04away · Unics Kazan62:87
- 10.10away · Uralmash Ekaterinburg86:71
- 07.10away · Zenit Petersburg85:99
- 26.09away · Unics Kazan97:88
- 03.05Lokomotiv Kuban82:87
- 29.04away · Lokomotiv Kuban76:79
Head to head
- 07.03.2026MBA Moscow — Parma Perm78:66
- 25.01.2026Parma Perm — MBA Moscow73:79 OT
- 11.01.2026MBA Moscow — Parma Perm72:83
- 26.10.2025Parma Perm — MBA Moscow82:70
- 19.04.2025Parma Perm — MBA Moscow93:76
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Lokomotiv Kuban | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Parma Perm | 2 | 2 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Saratov | 2 | 2 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Dynamo Vladivostok | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | MBA Moscow | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Uralmash Ekaterinburg | 1 | 3 | .250 | 2.5 |
Next matches
- Parma PermDynamo Vladivostok17 October · VTB United League90101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —175.6
- SaratovMBA Moscow18 October · VTB United League30702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —159.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →