NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Miami Heat — Dallas Mavericks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dallas Mavericks are slightly stronger: 54% against 46%.
The model expects a score around 117:118 — 235 points in total.
Over 234.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Miami Heat play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.4 points.
- Dallas Mavericks play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Miami Heat — Dallas Mavericks | 116.8–118.1 | |
| Total over 234.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 234.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- All totals
- Miami Heat points
- Dallas Mavericks points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 15.04away · Charlotte Hornets126:127
- 13.04Atlanta Hawks143:117
- 11.04away · Washington Wizards140:117
- 10.04away · Toronto Raptors114:128
- 08.04away · Toronto Raptors95:121
- 13.04Chicago Bulls149:128
- 11.04away · San Antonio Spurs120:139
- 09.04away · Phoenix Suns107:112
- 08.04away · Los Angeles Clippers103:116
- 06.04Los Angeles Lakers134:128
Head to head
- 04.12.2025Dallas Mavericks — Miami Heat118:108
- 25.11.2025Miami Heat — Dallas Mavericks106:102
- 14.02.2025Dallas Mavericks — Miami Heat118:113
- 25.11.2024Miami Heat — Dallas Mavericks123:118 OT
- 11.04.2024Miami Heat — Dallas Mavericks92:111
NBA on the same day
- Charlotte HornetsWashington Wizardspreliminary78221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.4
- Cleveland CavaliersMinnesota Timberwolvespreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —232.4
- Boston CelticsChicago Bullspreliminary80201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.8
- Milwaukee BucksIndiana Pacerspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —233.4
- Oklahoma City ThunderPhoenix Sunspreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.6
- Houston RocketsAtlanta Hawkspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.7
- Utah JazzMemphis Grizzliespreliminary59411The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —243.3
- Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriorspreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —239.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →