NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Miami Heat — Detroit Pistons
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Detroit Pistons are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 115:119 — 233 points in total.
Over 233.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Pace: Miami Heat 103.9, Detroit Pistons 98.1 possessions per 48 minutes.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Miami Heat — Detroit Pistons | 114.8–118.7 | |
| Total over 233.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 233.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- All totals
- Miami Heat points
- Detroit Pistons points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 15.04away · Charlotte Hornets126:127
- 13.04Atlanta Hawks143:117
- 11.04away · Washington Wizards140:117
- 10.04away · Toronto Raptors114:128
- 08.04away · Toronto Raptors95:121
- 18.05Cleveland Cavaliers94:125
- 16.05away · Cleveland Cavaliers115:94
- 14.05Cleveland Cavaliers113:117
- 12.05away · Cleveland Cavaliers103:112
- 09.05away · Cleveland Cavaliers109:116
Head to head
- 09.03.2026Miami Heat — Detroit Pistons121:110
- 02.01.2026Detroit Pistons — Miami Heat112:118
- 30.11.2025Miami Heat — Detroit Pistons135:138
- 20.03.2025Miami Heat — Detroit Pistons113:116
- 17.12.2024Detroit Pistons — Miami Heat125:124 OT
NBA on the same day
- Boston CelticsNew York Knickspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —217.8
- Charlotte HornetsAtlanta Hawkspreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.7
- Indiana PacersDallas Maverickspreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —234.0
- Orlando MagicMinnesota Timberwolvespreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —230.8
- Washington WizardsToronto Raptorspreliminary36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —231.3
- Milwaukee BucksChicago Bullspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —235.2
- San Antonio SpursHouston Rocketspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —221.8
- Utah JazzNew Orleans Pelicanspreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —240.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →