NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Miami Heat — Indiana Pacers

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Model prediction for 31 October

Miami Heat45%
Indiana Pacers55%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Indiana Pacers are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 119:120 — 239 points in total.

Over 238.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Pace: Miami Heat 103.9, Indiana Pacers 102.7 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Miami Heat — Indiana Pacers118.5–120.3
Total over 238.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 238.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Indiana Pacers points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Miami Heat

  • 15.04away · Charlotte Hornets126:127
  • 13.04Atlanta Hawks143:117
  • 11.04away · Washington Wizards140:117
  • 10.04away · Toronto Raptors114:128
  • 08.04away · Toronto Raptors95:121

Indiana Pacers

  • 13.04Detroit Pistons121:133
  • 11.04Philadelphia 76ers94:105
  • 10.04away · Brooklyn Nets123:94
  • 08.04Minnesota Timberwolves104:124
  • 06.04away · Cleveland Cavaliers108:117

Head to head

  • 30.03.2026Indiana Pacers — Miami Heat135:118
  • 11.01.2026Indiana Pacers — Miami Heat123:99
  • 28.12.2025Miami Heat — Indiana Pacers142:116
  • 01.03.2025Miami Heat — Indiana Pacers125:120
  • 03.01.2025Miami Heat — Indiana Pacers115:128

Full record: 28 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →