Golden State Warriors — Los Angeles Lakers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Golden State Warriors 51%, Los Angeles Lakers 49%.
The model expects a score around 118:118 — 236 points in total.
Over 235.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Golden State Warriors without Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody: that costs the team about 8.3 points a game.
- Los Angeles Lakers play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Golden State Warriors — Los Angeles Lakers | 118.1–117.7 | |
| Total over 235.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 235.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Golden State Warriors points
- Los Angeles Lakers points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 18.04away · Phoenix Suns96:111
- 16.04away · Los Angeles Clippers126:121
- 13.04away · Los Angeles Clippers110:115
- 11.04away · Sacramento Kings118:124
- 10.04Los Angeles Lakers103:119
- 12.05Oklahoma City Thunder110:115
- 10.05Oklahoma City Thunder108:131
- 08.05away · Oklahoma City Thunder107:125
- 06.05away · Oklahoma City Thunder90:108
- 02.05away · Houston Rockets98:78
Head to head
- 10.04.2026Golden State Warriors — Los Angeles Lakers103:119
- 01.03.2026Golden State Warriors — Los Angeles Lakers101:129
- 08.02.2026Los Angeles Lakers — Golden State Warriors105:99
- 22.10.2025Los Angeles Lakers — Golden State Warriors109:119
- 04.04.2025Los Angeles Lakers — Golden State Warriors116:123
NBA on the same day
- Washington WizardsCharlotte Hornetspreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —227.6
- Boston CelticsChicago Bullspreliminary79211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.8
- Brooklyn NetsDetroit Pistonspreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —226.7
- Philadelphia 76ersNew York Knickspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —227.3
- Toronto RaptorsOrlando Magicpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.8
- Dallas MavericksHouston Rocketspreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —224.9
- Miami HeatIndiana Pacerspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —238.9
- Minnesota TimberwolvesLos Angeles Clipperspreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —230.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →