NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Miami Heat — Minnesota Timberwolves
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Miami Heat are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.
The model expects a score around 120:118 — 238 points in total.
Over 237.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Minnesota Timberwolves without Donte DiVincenzo: that costs the team about 2.1 points a game.
- Pace: Miami Heat 103.9, Minnesota Timberwolves 103.9 possessions per 48 minutes.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Miami Heat — Minnesota Timberwolves | 119.8–117.8 | |
| Total over 237.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 237.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- All totals
- Miami Heat points
- Minnesota Timberwolves points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 15.04away · Charlotte Hornets126:127
- 13.04Atlanta Hawks143:117
- 11.04away · Washington Wizards140:117
- 10.04away · Toronto Raptors114:128
- 08.04away · Toronto Raptors95:121
- 16.05San Antonio Spurs109:139
- 13.05away · San Antonio Spurs97:126
- 11.05San Antonio Spurs114:109
- 09.05San Antonio Spurs108:115
- 07.05away · San Antonio Spurs95:133
Head to head
- 07.01.2026Minnesota Timberwolves — Miami Heat122:94
- 04.01.2026Miami Heat — Minnesota Timberwolves115:125
- 08.03.2025Miami Heat — Minnesota Timberwolves104:106
- 11.11.2024Minnesota Timberwolves — Miami Heat94:95
- 19.12.2023Miami Heat — Minnesota Timberwolves108:112
NBA on the same day
- Orlando MagicAtlanta Hawkspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —229.1
- Washington WizardsMilwaukee Buckspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —233.2
- Brooklyn NetsCharlotte Hornetspreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —222.1
- Toronto RaptorsChicago Bullspreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —233.2
- Memphis GrizzliesUtah Jazzpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —243.2
- New Orleans PelicansIndiana Pacerspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —236.4
- Houston RocketsDallas Maverickspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.8
- Los Angeles LakersGolden State Warriorspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —235.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →