NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Los Angeles Lakers — Golden State Warriors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Los Angeles Lakers are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 120:116 — 236 points in total.
Over 235.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Golden State Warriors without Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody: that costs the team about 8.3 points a game.
- Pace: Los Angeles Lakers 97.5, Golden State Warriors 100.0 possessions per 48 minutes.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Los Angeles Lakers — Golden State Warriors | 119.8–116.0 | |
| Total over 235.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 235.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- All totals
- Los Angeles Lakers points
- Golden State Warriors points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 12.05Oklahoma City Thunder110:115
- 10.05Oklahoma City Thunder108:131
- 08.05away · Oklahoma City Thunder107:125
- 06.05away · Oklahoma City Thunder90:108
- 02.05away · Houston Rockets98:78
- 18.04away · Phoenix Suns96:111
- 16.04away · Los Angeles Clippers126:121
- 13.04away · Los Angeles Clippers110:115
- 11.04away · Sacramento Kings118:124
- 10.04Los Angeles Lakers103:119
Head to head
- 10.04.2026Golden State Warriors — Los Angeles Lakers103:119
- 01.03.2026Golden State Warriors — Los Angeles Lakers101:129
- 08.02.2026Los Angeles Lakers — Golden State Warriors105:99
- 22.10.2025Los Angeles Lakers — Golden State Warriors109:119
- 04.04.2025Los Angeles Lakers — Golden State Warriors116:123
NBA on the same day
- Orlando MagicAtlanta Hawkspreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —229.0
- Washington WizardsMilwaukee Buckspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —233.2
- Brooklyn NetsCharlotte Hornetspreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —222.1
- Miami HeatMinnesota Timberwolvespreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —237.6
- Toronto RaptorsChicago Bullspreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —233.3
- Memphis GrizzliesUtah Jazzpreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —243.4
- New Orleans PelicansIndiana Pacerspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —236.4
- Houston RocketsDallas Maverickspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →