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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Murcia — Leyma Coruna

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Model prediction for 24 October

Murcia89%
Leyma Coruna11%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Murcia are clear favourites: 89% against 11% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 100:86 — 186 points in total.

Over 185.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Murcia +1.5, Leyma Coruna −9.4 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Murcia — Leyma Coruna100.3–86.0
Total over 185.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 185.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Murcia points
  • Leyma Coruna points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Murcia

  • 11.10Tenerife77:90
  • 04.10Barcelona100:94
  • 27.09away · Basquet Girona77:84
  • 06.06Barcelona76:100
  • 04.06away · Barcelona90:87

Leyma Coruna

  • 10.10Basket Zaragoza71:92
  • 04.10Bilbao104:101
  • 26.09away · Barcelona101:119
  • 30.05Baskonia101:105
  • 24.05away · Murcia93:105

Head to head

  • 24.05.2025Murcia — Leyma Coruna105:93
  • 18.01.2025Leyma Coruna — Murcia78:86

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
12Forca Lleida312.3332
13Leyma Coruna312.3332
14Valencia312.3332
15Murcia312.3332
16MoraBanc Andorra202.0002.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 89% will not happen in roughly 11 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →