Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Barcelona — Basket Zaragoza
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Barcelona are clear favourites: 83% against 17% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 97:86 — 183 points in total.
Over 182.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Barcelona +5.3, Basket Zaragoza −2.7 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Barcelona — Basket Zaragoza | 97.4–86.0 | |
| Total over 182.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 182.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Barcelona points
- Basket Zaragoza points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 11.10Valencia89:86
- 09.10Zalgiris Kaunas81:88
- 04.10away · Murcia94:100
- 02.10away · Besiktas95:82
- 29.09away · Dubai87:94
- 10.10away · Leyma Coruna92:71
- 04.10Valencia82:97
- 27.09away · Tenerife81:80
- 29.05away · Breogan95:94
- 26.05Valencia86:98
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Basket Zaragoza — Barcelona86:92
- 02.01.2026Barcelona — Basket Zaragoza100:80
- 23.03.2025Barcelona — Basket Zaragoza97:95
- 15.12.2024Basket Zaragoza — Barcelona108:95
- 03.03.2024Barcelona — Basket Zaragoza109:68
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs | Breogan | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 4, Playoffs | Basket Zaragoza | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs | Bilbao | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 6, Playoffs | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 7, Playoffs | Obradoiro CAB | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- ManresaSan Pablo Burgospreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —192.7
- MurciaLeyma Corunapreliminary89111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —186.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →