NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

New Orleans Pelicans — Atlanta Hawks

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Model prediction for 1 November

New Orleans Pelicans57%
Atlanta Hawks43%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

New Orleans Pelicans are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

The model expects a score around 118:115 — 233 points in total.

Over 232.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • New Orleans Pelicans play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.4 points.
  • Atlanta Hawks play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: New Orleans Pelicans 1 win, Atlanta Hawks 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): New Orleans Pelicans — Atlanta Hawks117.9–115.4
Total over 232.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 232.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • New Orleans Pelicans points
  • Atlanta Hawks points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

New Orleans Pelicans

  • 13.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves126:132
  • 11.04away · Boston Celtics118:144
  • 08.04Utah Jazz156:137
  • 06.04Orlando Magic108:112
  • 04.04away · Sacramento Kings113:117

Atlanta Hawks

  • 01.05New York Knicks89:140
  • 29.04away · New York Knicks97:126
  • 26.04New York Knicks98:114
  • 24.04New York Knicks109:108
  • 21.04away · New York Knicks107:106

Head to head

  • 08.01.2026Atlanta Hawks — New Orleans Pelicans117:100
  • 23.11.2025New Orleans Pelicans — Atlanta Hawks98:115
  • 03.12.2024Atlanta Hawks — New Orleans Pelicans124:112
  • 04.11.2024New Orleans Pelicans — Atlanta Hawks111:126
  • 11.03.2024Atlanta Hawks — New Orleans Pelicans103:116

Full record: 12 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →