NBA (National Basketball Association) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

New Orleans Pelicans — Sacramento Kings

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Model prediction for 30 October

New Orleans Pelicans68%
Sacramento Kings32%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

New Orleans Pelicans are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 119:113 — 232 points in total.

Over 231.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Sacramento Kings without Maxime Raynaud: that costs the team about 5.7 points a game.
  • New Orleans Pelicans play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: New Orleans Pelicans 3 wins, Sacramento Kings 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): New Orleans Pelicans — Sacramento Kings119.3–112.8
Total over 231.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 231.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Sacramento Kings points
  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

New Orleans Pelicans

  • 13.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves126:132
  • 11.04away · Boston Celtics118:144
  • 08.04Utah Jazz156:137
  • 06.04Orlando Magic108:112
  • 04.04away · Sacramento Kings113:117

Sacramento Kings

  • 13.04away · Portland Trail Blazers110:122
  • 11.04Golden State Warriors124:118
  • 08.04away · Golden State Warriors105:110
  • 06.04Los Angeles Clippers109:138
  • 04.04New Orleans Pelicans117:113

Head to head

  • 04.04.2026Sacramento Kings — New Orleans Pelicans117:113
  • 06.03.2026Sacramento Kings — New Orleans Pelicans123:133
  • 10.02.2026New Orleans Pelicans — Sacramento Kings120:94
  • 14.02.2025New Orleans Pelicans — Sacramento Kings140:133 OT
  • 13.02.2025New Orleans Pelicans — Sacramento Kings111:119

Full record: 25 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →