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Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Obera TC — Independiente de Oliva

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Model prediction for 30 October

Obera TC59%
Independiente de Oliva41%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Obera TC are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

The model expects a score around 86:84 — 170 points in total.

Over 169.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Obera TC −1.0, Independiente de Oliva +0.1 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Obera TC — Independiente de Oliva86.3–83.7
Total over 169.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 169.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Obera TC points
  • Independiente de Oliva points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Obera TC

  • 10.10away · Lanus58:67
  • 08.10away · Boca Juniors73:96
  • 15.05away · Boca Juniors78:86
  • 12.05Boca Juniors80:102
  • 09.05Boca Juniors66:70

Independiente de Oliva

  • 09.10Ferro92:97
  • 19.05away · Gimnasia71:81
  • 16.05Gimnasia74:66
  • 14.05Gimnasia78:76
  • 11.05away · Gimnasia72:77

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Obera TC — Independiente de Oliva104:96 OT
  • 01.11.2025Independiente de Oliva — Obera TC83:84
  • 16.05.2025Independiente de Oliva — Obera TC84:93
  • 12.11.2024Obera TC — Independiente de Oliva83:81
  • 22.03.2024Obera TC — Independiente de Oliva85:77

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
15Ferro413.2502.5
16Independiente de Oliva101.0002
17, Relegation play-offSan Martin303.0003
18, Relegation play-offObera TC202.0002.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

  • LanusSan Martinpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —157.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →