Lanus — San Martin
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Lanus 48%, San Martin 52%.
The model expects a score around 78:79 — 157 points in total.
Over 156.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Lanus −6.4, San Martin −2.0 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Lanus — San Martin | 78.3–79.0 | |
| Total over 156.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 156.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Lanus points
- San Martin points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Form
- 11.10away · Argentino79:82
- 09.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy123:126
- 01.10Instituto de Cordoba73:81
- 01.05Boca Juniors97:101
- 28.04away · Boca Juniors81:83
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | La Union | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lanus | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Platense | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 16 | Independiente de Oliva | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 |
| 17, Relegation play-off | San Martin | 0 | 3 | .000 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation play-off | Obera TC | 0 | 3 | .000 | 3 |
Liga Nacional on the same day
- Obera TCIndependiente de Olivapreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —170.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →