Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Pavillón Multiusos Fontes do Sar
Obradoiro CAB — Forca Lleida
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91:89Came true
In short
Final score 91:89: the model's most likely outcome, Obradoiro CAB to win (76% incl. overtime), came true.
Obradoiro CAB are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 97:88 — 185 points in total.
Over 184.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Obradoiro CAB −0.4, Forca Lleida −5.4 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Obradoiro CAB — Forca Lleida | 96.5–88.2 | |
| Total over 184.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 184.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Obradoiro CAB points
- Forca Lleida points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 04.10Real Madrid107:114
- 26.09away · MoraBanc Andorra90:85
- 12.05Joventut Badalona97:71
- 09.05away · Palencia81:75
- 04.05MoraBanc Andorra101:89
- 04.10San Pablo Burgos81:94
- 27.09away · Valencia105:100
- 29.05away · Murcia95:116
- 24.05MoraBanc Andorra88:116
- 17.05Gran Canaria75:72
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 7, Playoffs | Obradoiro CAB | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 8, Playoffs | Tenerife | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 11 | Unicaja | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 12 | Forca Lleida | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 13 | Leyma Coruna | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
Next matches
- San Pablo BurgosObradoiro CAB17 October · Liga ACB59411The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —187.8
- Basket ZaragozaForca Lleida18 October · Liga ACB68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —182.3
Liga ACB on the same day
- 87131The most likely outcome came true: 1120:83Final score 120:83. Model's score: —.190.6
- 67331The most likely outcome did not happen: 177:90Final score 77:90. Model's score: —.178.6
- 74261The most likely outcome came true: 193:73Final score 93:73. Model's score: —.185.0
- 60401The most likely outcome came true: 196:87Final score 96:87. Model's score: —.183.4
- 50501The most likely outcome came true: 189:86Final score 89:86. Model's score: —.193.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →