Oklahoma City Thunder — Denver Nuggets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Oklahoma City Thunder are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 120:114 — 234 points in total.
Over 233.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Pace: Oklahoma City Thunder 99.4, Denver Nuggets 102.1 possessions per 48 minutes.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Oklahoma City Thunder — Denver Nuggets | 119.7–114.2 | |
| Total over 233.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 233.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Oklahoma City Thunder points
- Denver Nuggets points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 31.05San Antonio Spurs103:111
- 29.05away · San Antonio Spurs91:118
- 27.05San Antonio Spurs127:114
- 25.05away · San Antonio Spurs82:103
- 23.05away · San Antonio Spurs123:108
- 01.05away · Minnesota Timberwolves98:110
- 28.04Minnesota Timberwolves125:113
- 26.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:112
- 24.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:113
- 21.04Minnesota Timberwolves114:119
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Denver Nuggets — Oklahoma City Thunder127:107
- 10.03.2026Oklahoma City Thunder — Denver Nuggets129:126
- 28.02.2026Oklahoma City Thunder — Denver Nuggets127:121 OT
- 02.02.2026Denver Nuggets — Oklahoma City Thunder111:121
- 18.05.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Denver Nuggets125:93
NBA on the same day
- Philadelphia 76ersCleveland Cavalierspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —231.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →