EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Panathinaikos — Hapoel Tel Aviv
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Panathinaikos are clear favourites: 81% against 19% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 90:80 — 170 points in total.
Over 169.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Panathinaikos +6.4, Hapoel Tel Aviv −0.6 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Panathinaikos — No. 1, 5–0; Hapoel Tel Aviv — No. 5, 3–2.
- Panathinaikos: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Panathinaikos 1 win, Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.
- Days of rest before the match: Panathinaikos 3, Hapoel Tel Aviv 8.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Panathinaikos — Hapoel Tel Aviv | 90.2–79.7 | |
| Total over 169.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 169.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Panathinaikos points
- Hapoel Tel Aviv points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10away · Partizan Mozzart Bet72:55
- 08.10Fenerbahce92:74
- 02.10Maccabi Tel Aviv90:67
- 30.09Lyon-Villeurbanne102:79
- 24.09Paris91:72
- 08.10away · Valencia82:93
- 01.10Real Madrid102:98
- 29.09away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81:80
- 24.09Bayern84:86
- 07.05Real Madrid81:87
Head to head
- 02.04.2026Hapoel Tel Aviv — Panathinaikos92:88
- 18.12.2025Panathinaikos — Hapoel Tel Aviv93:82
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Panathinaikos | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.3
- 74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.8
- 75251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.3
- 36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —175.4
- 74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →