NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Pato — Paulistano
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Paulistano are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 74:81 — 155 points in total.
Over 154.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Pato −7.1, Paulistano +3.3 points in regulation.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Pato 4 wins, Paulistano 1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Pato — Paulistano | 73.7–81.2 | |
| Total over 154.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 154.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Pato points
- Paulistano points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 18.04away · Paulistano71:92
- 17.04away · Pinheiros55:88
- 11.04away · Osasco68:77
- 10.04away · Franca64:100
- 07.04Rio Claro70:78
- 10.05Pinheiros74:84
- 08.05Pinheiros68:76
- 05.05away · Pinheiros92:101
- 30.04Bauru71:62
- 27.04away · Bauru75:88
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Paulistano — Pato92:71
- 07.12.2025Pato — Paulistano67:59
- 27.03.2025Paulistano — Pato77:94
- 17.11.2024Pato — Paulistano66:65
- 10.03.2024Pato — Paulistano83:73
NBB on the same day
- BauruSao Josepreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.1
- FrancaMogipreliminary81191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —158.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →