EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Movistar Arena
Real Madrid — Partizan Mozzart Bet
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86:76Came true
In short
Final score 86:76: the model's most likely outcome, Real Madrid to win (70% incl. overtime), came true.
Real Madrid are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 89:82 — 171 point in total.
Over 170.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Real Madrid +1.8, Partizan Mozzart Bet −1.1 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Real Madrid — Partizan Mozzart Bet | 88.8–82.5 | |
| Total over 170.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 170.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Real Madrid points
- Partizan Mozzart Bet points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 04.10away · Obradoiro CAB114:107
- 01.10away · Hapoel Tel Aviv98:102
- 29.09away · Anadolu Efes84:94
- 27.09Unicaja89:87
- 24.09away · Dubai77:78
- 02.10away · Bayern86:84
- 29.09away · Paris92:79
- 25.09Olimpia Milano92:76
- 16.04Baskonia91:79
- 10.04Zalgiris Kaunas74:83
Head to head
- 13.02.2026Partizan Mozzart Bet — Real Madrid73:77
- 15.10.2025Real Madrid — Partizan Mozzart Bet93:86
- 10.04.2025Partizan Mozzart Bet — Real Madrid89:91
- 10.10.2024Real Madrid — Partizan Mozzart Bet93:86
- 21.03.2024Partizan Mozzart Bet — Real Madrid76:88
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Partizan Mozzart Bet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Dubai | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 11 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 12 | Real Madrid | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
| 13 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
Next matches
- Real MadridManresa11 October · Liga ACB87131The most likely outcome came true: 1120:83Final score 120:83. Model's score: —.190.6
- Partizan Mozzart BetPanathinaikos13 October · EuroLeague39612The most likely outcome came true: 255:72Final score 55:72. Model's score: —.166.3
EuroLeague on the same day
- 62381The most likely outcome did not happen: 158:77Final score 58:77. Model's score: —.170.7
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 197:79Final score 97:79. Model's score: —.181.4
- 61391The most likely outcome did not happen: 187:94Final score 87:94. Model's score: —.170.5
- 66341The most likely outcome came true: 192:74Final score 92:74. Model's score: —.162.1
- 74261The most likely outcome came true: 193:82Final score 93:82. Model's score: —.183.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →