EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Telekom Center Athens
Panathinaikos — Fenerbahce
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
92:74Came true
In short
Final score 92:74: the model's most likely outcome, Panathinaikos to win (66% incl. overtime), came true.
Panathinaikos are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 84:79 — 162 points in total.
Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Panathinaikos +4.1, Fenerbahce +2.7 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Panathinaikos — Fenerbahce | 83.5–78.6 | |
| Total over 161.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 161.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Panathinaikos points
- Fenerbahce points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 02.10Maccabi Tel Aviv90:67
- 30.09Lyon-Villeurbanne102:79
- 24.09Paris91:72
- 13.05away · Valencia64:81
- 08.05Valencia86:89
- 02.10Dubai76:66
- 29.09Bayern100:76
- 25.09Virtus Bologna78:68
- 22.05away · Olympiacos61:79
- 08.05away · Zalgiris Kaunas94:90
Head to head
- 13.02.2026Panathinaikos — Fenerbahce83:85
- 16.12.2025Fenerbahce — Panathinaikos77:81
- 23.05.2025Fenerbahce — Panathinaikos82:76
- 04.02.2025Panathinaikos — Fenerbahce91:90
- 25.10.2024Fenerbahce — Panathinaikos76:81
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Panathinaikos | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
Next matches
- FenerbahceZalgiris Kaunas13 October · EuroLeague58421The most likely outcome came true: 199:80Final score 99:80. Model's score: —.161.1
- Partizan Mozzart BetPanathinaikos13 October · EuroLeague39612The most likely outcome came true: 255:72Final score 55:72. Model's score: —.166.3
EuroLeague on the same day
- 62381The most likely outcome did not happen: 158:77Final score 58:77. Model's score: —.170.7
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 197:79Final score 97:79. Model's score: —.181.4
- 61391The most likely outcome did not happen: 187:94Final score 87:94. Model's score: —.170.5
- 74261The most likely outcome came true: 193:82Final score 93:82. Model's score: —.183.2
- 70301The most likely outcome came true: 186:76Final score 86:76. Model's score: —.171.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →