VTB United League (basketball) · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · Palace of Sport
Samara — Unics Kazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
62:117Came true
In short
Final score 62:117: the model's most likely outcome, Unics Kazan to win (99% incl. overtime), came true.
Unics Kazan are clear favourites: 99% against 1% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 69:99 — 168 points in total.
Over 168.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Samara −15.9, Unics Kazan +15.2 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Samara — Unics Kazan | 69.4–98.8 | |
| Total over 168.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 168.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Samara points
- Unics Kazan points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 04.10Dynamo Vladivostok84:98
- 26.09away · Saratov69:77
- 22.04away · MBA Moscow61:79
- 20.04Nizhny Novgorod76:78
- 15.04Uralmash Ekaterinburg74:99
- 04.10Zenit Petersburg95:60
- 30.09Dynamo Vladivostok117:75
- 26.09Parma Perm88:97
- 10.06CSKA Moscow76:102
- 08.06CSKA Moscow74:86
Head to head
- 01.04.2026Unics Kazan — Samara95:71
- 21.01.2026Samara — Unics Kazan73:93
- 10.01.2026Samara — Unics Kazan80:105
- 11.11.2025Unics Kazan — Samara99:67
- 16.03.2025Samara — Unics Kazan64:120
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Unics Kazan | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Zenit Petersburg | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.5 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Enisey | 0 | 2 | .000 | 2.5 |
| 11 | Samara | 0 | 3 | .000 | 3 |
Next matches
- EniseySamara14 October · VTB United League9191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —165.6
- Unics KazanUralmash Ekaterinburg14 October · VTB United League9191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —164.6
VTB United League on the same day
- 9461The most likely outcome came true: 190:85Final score 90:85. Model's score: —.163.0
- 68321The most likely outcome came true: 199:85Final score 99:85. Model's score: —.164.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 99% will not happen in roughly 1 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →