VTB United League (basketball) · Wednesday, 7 October, MSK · KSK Arena
Zenit Petersburg — Parma Perm
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99:85Came true
In short
Final score 99:85: the model's most likely outcome, Zenit Petersburg to win (68% incl. overtime), came true.
Zenit Petersburg are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 85:79 — 164 points in total.
Over 163.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Zenit Petersburg +10.7, Parma Perm +6.5 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Zenit Petersburg — Parma Perm | 85.1–79.3 | |
| Total over 163.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 163.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Zenit Petersburg points
- Parma Perm points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 04.10away · Unics Kazan60:95
- 25.09Uralmash Ekaterinburg92:68
- 12.06Lokomotiv Kuban76:84
- 09.06away · Lokomotiv Kuban85:91
- 07.06away · Lokomotiv Kuban81:85
- 26.09away · Unics Kazan97:88
- 03.05Lokomotiv Kuban82:87
- 29.04away · Lokomotiv Kuban76:79
- 27.04away · Lokomotiv Kuban80:93
- 18.04away · Lokomotiv Kuban88:95
Head to head
- 10.03.2026Zenit Petersburg — Parma Perm74:64
- 22.02.2026Parma Perm — Zenit Petersburg78:84
- 04.01.2026Parma Perm — Zenit Petersburg77:85
- 29.10.2025Zenit Petersburg — Parma Perm82:79
- 27.04.2025Parma Perm — Zenit Petersburg74:91
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Unics Kazan | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Zenit Petersburg | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.5 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Lokomotiv Kuban | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Parma Perm | 2 | 2 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Saratov | 2 | 2 | .500 | 1.5 |
Next matches
- Uralmash EkaterinburgParma Perm10 October · VTB United League45552The most likely outcome came true: 271:86Final score 71:86. Model's score: —.166.4
- Zenit PetersburgSaratov11 October · VTB United League9551The most likely outcome came true: 191:71Final score 91:71. Model's score: —.157.7
VTB United League on the same day
- 1992The most likely outcome came true: 262:117Final score 62:117. Model's score: —.168.3
- 9461The most likely outcome came true: 190:85Final score 90:85. Model's score: —.163.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →