NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

San Antonio Spurs — Houston Rockets

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Model prediction for 24 October

San Antonio Spurs63%
Houston Rockets37%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Antonio Spurs are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 113:109 — 222 points in total.

Over 221.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Pace: San Antonio Spurs 99.7, Houston Rockets 98.8 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Antonio Spurs — Houston Rockets113.1–108.7
Total over 221.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 221.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • San Antonio Spurs points
  • Houston Rockets points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

San Antonio Spurs

  • 14.06New York Knicks90:94
  • 11.06away · New York Knicks106:107
  • 09.06away · New York Knicks115:111
  • 06.06New York Knicks104:105
  • 04.06New York Knicks95:105

Houston Rockets

  • 02.05Los Angeles Lakers78:98
  • 30.04away · Los Angeles Lakers99:93
  • 27.04Los Angeles Lakers115:96
  • 25.04Los Angeles Lakers108:112
  • 22.04away · Los Angeles Lakers94:101

Head to head

  • 09.03.2026San Antonio Spurs — Houston Rockets145:120
  • 29.01.2026Houston Rockets — San Antonio Spurs99:111
  • 21.01.2026Houston Rockets — San Antonio Spurs111:106
  • 08.11.2025San Antonio Spurs — Houston Rockets121:110
  • 27.02.2025Houston Rockets — San Antonio Spurs118:106

Full record: 26 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →