Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
San Lorenzo — Penarol
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
San Lorenzo are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.
The model expects a score around 82:80 — 162 points in total.
Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: San Lorenzo −0.9, Penarol +0.5 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): San Lorenzo — Penarol | 82.3–79.9 | |
| Total over 161.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 161.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- San Lorenzo points
- Penarol points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 09.10Gimnasia89:73
- 18.04away · Obras Sanitarias70:76
- 15.04away · Argentino70:80
- 13.04away · Racing de Chivilcoy66:80
- 04.04Boca Juniors77:83
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Penarol — San Lorenzo71:79
- 27.09.2025San Lorenzo — Penarol82:74
- 05.04.2025San Lorenzo — Penarol76:63
- 10.01.2025Penarol — San Lorenzo80:77
- 23.04.2024Penarol — San Lorenzo80:75
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Quimsa | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Regatas | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Gimnasia | 4 | 2 | .667 | 0.5 |
Liga Nacional on the same day
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —162.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →