Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Platense — Obera TC

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Model prediction for 17 October

Platense59%
Obera TC41%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Platense are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

The model expects a score around 83:80 — 163 points in total.

Over 162.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Platense −3.1, Obera TC −2.1 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Platense — Obera TC82.8–80.1
Total over 162.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 162.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Platense points
  • Obera TC points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Platense

  • 07.10La Union86:90
  • 04.10away · Quimsa67:94
  • 02.10away · Olimpico82:74
  • 18.04San Martin77:79
  • 16.04Regatas87:95

Obera TC

  • 14.10Racing de Chivilcoy78:84
  • 10.10away · Lanus58:67
  • 08.10away · Boca Juniors73:96
  • 15.05away · Boca Juniors78:86
  • 12.05Boca Juniors80:102

Head to head

  • 12.01.2026Obera TC — Platense111:73
  • 21.11.2025Platense — Obera TC82:78
  • 07.03.2025Platense — Obera TC73:67
  • 29.11.2024Obera TC — Platense83:77
  • 29.02.2024Platense — Obera TC83:75

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
11, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLanus211.5001.5
12, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsPlatense312.3332
13Olimpico312.3332
17, Relegation play-offSan Martin303.0003
18, Relegation play-offObera TC303.0003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →