Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
San Lorenzo — Platense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
San Lorenzo are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 87:81 — 168 points in total.
Over 167.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: San Lorenzo −0.9, Platense −3.1 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): San Lorenzo — Platense | 86.9–81.0 | |
| Total over 167.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 167.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- San Lorenzo points
- Platense points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 09.10Gimnasia89:73
- 18.04away · Obras Sanitarias70:76
- 15.04away · Argentino70:80
- 13.04away · Racing de Chivilcoy66:80
- 04.04Boca Juniors77:83
- 07.10La Union86:90
- 04.10away · Quimsa67:94
- 02.10away · Olimpico82:74
- 18.04San Martin77:79
- 16.04Regatas87:95
Head to head
- 19.03.2026San Lorenzo — Platense107:103
- 03.11.2025Platense — San Lorenzo101:78
- 23.04.2025San Lorenzo — Platense73:78
- 08.01.2025Platense — San Lorenzo81:71
- 06.04.2024San Lorenzo — Platense72:62
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Quimsa | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Regatas | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lanus | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Platense | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
| 13 | Olimpico | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
Liga Nacional on the same day
- Boca JuniorsRegataspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.6
- GimnasiaFerropreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →