Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Thursday, 29 October, 00:00 MSK

Gimnasia — Ferro

Model prediction for 29 October

Gimnasia72%

Ferro28%

Model estimate at 01:14 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Gimnasia are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 84:77 — 161 point in total.

Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Gimnasia +3.5, Ferro +0.3 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Gimnasia — Ferro		84.1–77.2
Total over 160.5 (incl. OT)		50%
Total under 160.5 (incl. OT)		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Gimnasia points
Ferro points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Gimnasia

13.10away · Argentino87:82
11.10away · Racing de Chivilcoy78:72
09.10away · San Lorenzo73:89
05.10La Union92:86
01.10away · Penarol57:62

Ferro

13.10away · Atenas86:91
10.10away · Instituto de Cordoba94:97
09.10away · Independiente de Oliva97:92
01.10away · Argentino68:79
03.06away · Gimnasia54:88

Head to head

03.06.2026Gimnasia — Ferro88:54
30.05.2026Ferro — Gimnasia81:73
29.05.2026Ferro — Gimnasia74:70
26.05.2026Gimnasia — Ferro79:74
24.05.2026Gimnasia — Ferro81:77

Full record: 23 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Penarol	1	1	0	1.000	1
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Gimnasia	6	4	2	.667	0.5
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Atenas	3	2	1	.667	1
14	Boca Juniors	3	1	2	.333	2
15	Ferro	4	1	3	.250	2.5
16	Independiente de Oliva	1	0	1	.000	2

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

00:00
Boca JuniorsRegataspreliminary
6337
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —166.6
00:00
San LorenzoPlatensepreliminary
6931
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →