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EuroCup (basketball) · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK · BLM Group Arena

Trento — Chemnitz

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Model prediction and result

80:88Missed
Trento55%
Chemnitz45%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 80:88: the model's most likely outcome, Trento to win (55% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.

Trento are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

The model expects a score around 80:78 — 158 points in total.

Over 157.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Trento −5.4, Chemnitz −4.5 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Trento — Chemnitz79.8–78.2
Total over 157.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 157.5 (incl. OT)50%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Trento points
  • Chemnitz points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Trento

  • 06.10Slask Wroclaw81:94
  • 29.09away · Neptunas76:73
  • 18.03away · Besiktas76:77
  • 11.03away · Venezia94:90
  • 10.02Ulm76:68

Chemnitz

  • 07.10Neptunas93:84
  • 29.09away · Tofas69:82
  • 11.03away · Cedevita Olimpija65:73
  • 11.02away · Turk Telekom62:79
  • 04.02Trento81:67

Head to head

  • 04.02.2026Chemnitz — Trento81:67
  • 18.11.2025Trento — Chemnitz94:105

Table

Group C

Table «Group C», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBasket Napoli2201.000—
2, PlayoffsTofas2201.000—
3, PlayoffsChemnitz321.6670.5
4, PlayoffsBuducnost211.5001
5Slask Wroclaw211.5001
6Trento312.3331.5
7Neptunas312.3331.5
8JL Bourg303.0002.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Next matches

  • ChemnitzSlask Wroclaw21 October · EuroCup · preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.4
  • JL BourgTrento21 October · EuroCup · preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.1

EuroCup on the same day

  • Bahcesehir Kol.Manresa
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 100:88. Model's score: —.169.3
  • LietkabelisPAOK
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 95:86. Model's score: —.162.1
  • NeptunasJL Bourg
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 93:89. Model's score: —.170.2
  • BC RomaBalkan
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 77:72 in overtime. Model's score: —.172.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →