NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Unifacisa — Pinheiros

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Model prediction for 20 October

Unifacisa39%
Pinheiros61%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Pinheiros are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 77:81 — 158 points in total.

Over 157.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Unifacisa +0.9, Pinheiros +7.6 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Unifacisa — Pinheiros77.4–81.1
Total over 157.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 157.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Unifacisa points
  • Pinheiros points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Unifacisa

  • 30.04away · Corinthians Paulista71:81
  • 26.04Corinthians Paulista73:76
  • 25.04Corinthians Paulista79:69
  • 21.04away · Corinthians Paulista78:88
  • 15.04away · Cruzeiro101:91

Pinheiros

  • 07.06away · Franca76:85
  • 04.06Franca94:92
  • 03.06Franca75:78
  • 31.05away · Franca73:82
  • 27.05Corinthians Paulista88:76

Head to head

  • 02.04.2026Pinheiros — Unifacisa83:81
  • 17.12.2025Unifacisa — Pinheiros79:89
  • 04.05.2025Pinheiros — Unifacisa72:58
  • 02.05.2025Unifacisa — Pinheiros86:79
  • 27.04.2025Pinheiros — Unifacisa77:76

Full record: 19 meetings →

NBB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →