NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Uniao Corinthians — Cruzeiro

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Model prediction for 20 October

Uniao Corinthians65%
Cruzeiro35%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Uniao Corinthians are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 87:82 — 169 points in total.

Over 168.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Uniao Corinthians −2.9, Cruzeiro −4.8 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Uniao Corinthians — Cruzeiro87.0–82.1
Total over 168.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 168.5 (incl. OT)50%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Uniao Corinthians points
  • Cruzeiro points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Uniao Corinthians

  • 01.05away · Flamengo77:104
  • 28.04Flamengo77:90
  • 26.04Flamengo84:83
  • 23.04away · Flamengo72:102
  • 18.04Sao Jose97:88

Cruzeiro

  • 30.04away · Minas93:103
  • 26.04Minas74:101
  • 25.04Minas97:81
  • 22.04away · Minas94:99
  • 17.04Cearense86:77

Head to head

  • 20.03.2026Cruzeiro — Uniao Corinthians66:67
  • 04.12.2025Uniao Corinthians — Cruzeiro87:76

NBB on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.0
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —158.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →