VTB United League (basketball) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Dynamo Vladivostok

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Model prediction for 21 October

Uralmash Ekaterinburg78%
Dynamo Vladivostok22%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Uralmash Ekaterinburg are clear favourites: 78% against 22% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:80 — 170 points in total.

Over 169.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Uralmash Ekaterinburg +1.4, Dynamo Vladivostok −7.0 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Uralmash Ekaterinburg — No. 10, 1–3; Dynamo Vladivostok — No. 9, 1–2.
  • Days of rest before the match: Uralmash Ekaterinburg 11, Dynamo Vladivostok 7.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Uralmash Ekaterinburg — Dynamo Vladivostok90.1–80.1
Total over 169.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 169.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Uralmash Ekaterinburg points
  • Dynamo Vladivostok points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Uralmash Ekaterinburg

  • 10.10Parma Perm71:86
  • 07.10away · CSKA Moscow85:90
  • 30.09away · Saratov80:75
  • 25.09away · Zenit Petersburg68:92
  • 04.05Zenit Petersburg61:78

Dynamo Vladivostok

  • 14.10CSKA Moscow88:103
  • 04.10away · Samara98:84
  • 30.09away · Unics Kazan75:117

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMBA Moscow312.3332.5
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDynamo Vladivostok312.3332.5
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsUralmash Ekaterinburg413.2503
11Samara404.0004

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

VTB United League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →