NBA (National Basketball Association) · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Utah Jazz — New Orleans Pelicans

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Model prediction for 24 October

Utah Jazz53%
New Orleans Pelicans47%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Utah Jazz 53%, New Orleans Pelicans 47%.

The model expects a score around 121:120 — 240 points in total.

Over 239.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Visitors struggle at 1288 m of altitude: the model takes about 1.3 points off them.
  • Pace: Utah Jazz 106.0, New Orleans Pelicans 103.8 possessions per 48 minutes.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Utah Jazz — New Orleans Pelicans120.7–119.6
Total over 239.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 239.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Utah Jazz points
  • New Orleans Pelicans points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Utah Jazz

  • 13.04away · Los Angeles Lakers107:131
  • 11.04Memphis Grizzlies147:101
  • 08.04away · New Orleans Pelicans137:156
  • 06.04away · Oklahoma City Thunder111:146
  • 04.04away · Houston Rockets106:140

New Orleans Pelicans

  • 13.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves126:132
  • 11.04away · Boston Celtics118:144
  • 08.04Utah Jazz156:137
  • 06.04Orlando Magic108:112
  • 04.04away · Sacramento Kings113:117

Head to head

  • 08.04.2026New Orleans Pelicans — Utah Jazz156:137
  • 01.03.2026Utah Jazz — New Orleans Pelicans105:115
  • 27.02.2026Utah Jazz — New Orleans Pelicans118:129
  • 03.03.2025Utah Jazz — New Orleans Pelicans121:128
  • 21.01.2025New Orleans Pelicans — Utah Jazz123:119 OT

Full record: 24 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →