NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Utah Jazz — San Antonio Spurs

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Model prediction for 29 October

Utah Jazz38%
San Antonio Spurs62%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Antonio Spurs are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 115:120 — 235 points in total.

Over 234.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Utah Jazz play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.4 points.
  • San Antonio Spurs play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Utah Jazz — San Antonio Spurs115.3–119.6
Total over 234.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 234.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Utah Jazz

  • 13.04away · Los Angeles Lakers107:131
  • 11.04Memphis Grizzlies147:101
  • 08.04away · New Orleans Pelicans137:156
  • 06.04away · Oklahoma City Thunder111:146
  • 04.04away · Houston Rockets106:140

San Antonio Spurs

  • 14.06New York Knicks90:94
  • 11.06away · New York Knicks106:107
  • 09.06away · New York Knicks115:111
  • 06.06New York Knicks104:105
  • 04.06New York Knicks95:105

Head to head

  • 23.01.2026Utah Jazz — San Antonio Spurs109:126
  • 20.01.2026San Antonio Spurs — Utah Jazz123:110
  • 28.12.2025San Antonio Spurs — Utah Jazz114:127
  • 27.11.2024Utah Jazz — San Antonio Spurs115:128
  • 22.11.2024San Antonio Spurs — Utah Jazz126:118

Full record: 24 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →