NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Minnesota Timberwolves — Golden State Warriors

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Model prediction for 29 October

Minnesota Timberwolves48%
Golden State Warriors52%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Minnesota Timberwolves 48%, Golden State Warriors 52%.

The model expects a score around 118:118 — 236 points in total.

Over 235.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Minnesota Timberwolves without Donte DiVincenzo: that costs the team about 2.1 points a game.
  • Golden State Warriors without Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody: that costs the team about 7.5 points a game.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Minnesota Timberwolves — Golden State Warriors117.8–118.3
Total over 235.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 235.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • 16.05San Antonio Spurs109:139
  • 13.05away · San Antonio Spurs97:126
  • 11.05San Antonio Spurs114:109
  • 09.05San Antonio Spurs108:115
  • 07.05away · San Antonio Spurs95:133

Golden State Warriors

  • 18.04away · Phoenix Suns96:111
  • 16.04away · Los Angeles Clippers126:121
  • 13.04away · Los Angeles Clippers110:115
  • 11.04away · Sacramento Kings118:124
  • 10.04Los Angeles Lakers103:119

Head to head

  • 14.03.2026Golden State Warriors — Minnesota Timberwolves117:127
  • 27.01.2026Minnesota Timberwolves — Golden State Warriors108:83
  • 26.01.2026Minnesota Timberwolves — Golden State Warriors85:111
  • 13.12.2025Golden State Warriors — Minnesota Timberwolves120:127
  • 15.05.2025Minnesota Timberwolves — Golden State Warriors121:110

Full record: 30 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →