EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Valencia — Fenerbahce
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Valencia are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 89:84 — 173 points in total.
Over 172.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Valencia +4.1, Fenerbahce +2.8 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Valencia — Fenerbahce | 88.8–84.1 | |
| Total over 172.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 172.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Valencia points
- Fenerbahce points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10Olympiacos97:102
- 11.10away · Barcelona86:89
- 08.10Hapoel Tel Aviv93:82
- 04.10away · Basket Zaragoza97:82
- 02.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne105:92
- 13.10Zalgiris Kaunas99:80
- 08.10away · Panathinaikos74:92
- 02.10Dubai76:66
- 29.09Bayern100:76
- 25.09Virtus Bologna78:68
Head to head
- 16.01.2026Fenerbahce — Valencia82:79
- 28.10.2025Valencia — Fenerbahce94:79
- 14.03.2024Fenerbahce — Valencia118:88
- 13.10.2023Valencia — Fenerbahce77:74
- 16.03.2023Valencia — Fenerbahce82:80
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- DubaiParispreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.1
- BayernBarcelonapreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —171.7
- Crvena Zvezda MeridianbetMaccabi Tel Avivpreliminary77231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.0
- PanathinaikosOlimpia Milanopreliminary9191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.7
- BaskoniaReal Madridpreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →