EuroLeague (basketball) · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Roig Arena
Valencia — Hapoel Tel Aviv
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
93:82Came true
In short
Final score 93:82: the model's most likely outcome, Valencia to win (74% incl. overtime), came true.
Valencia are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 95:88 — 183 points in total.
Over 182.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Valencia +4.0, Hapoel Tel Aviv −0.3 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Valencia — Hapoel Tel Aviv | 95.5–87.7 | |
| Total over 182.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 182.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Valencia points
- Hapoel Tel Aviv points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 04.10away · Basket Zaragoza97:82
- 02.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne105:92
- 29.09Baskonia111:88
- 27.09Forca Lleida100:105
- 25.09away · Besiktas96:94
- 01.10Real Madrid102:98
- 29.09away · Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet81:80
- 24.09Bayern84:86
- 07.05Real Madrid81:87
- 05.05Real Madrid76:69
Head to head
- 05.02.2026Hapoel Tel Aviv — Valencia99:104 OT
- 15.10.2025Valencia — Hapoel Tel Aviv93:100
- 02.04.2025Valencia — Hapoel Tel Aviv92:94
- 28.03.2025Hapoel Tel Aviv — Valencia96:91
- 25.03.2025Valencia — Hapoel Tel Aviv91:82
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Fenerbahce | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Virtus Bologna | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 11 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2 | 2 | .500 | 2.5 |
| 12 | Real Madrid | 2 | 3 | .400 | 3 |
Next matches
- BarcelonaValencia11 October · Liga ACB50501The most likely outcome came true: 189:86Final score 89:86. Model's score: —.193.2
- Hapoel Tel AvivBesiktas14 October · EuroLeague70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.6
EuroLeague on the same day
- 62381The most likely outcome did not happen: 158:77Final score 58:77. Model's score: —.170.7
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 197:79Final score 97:79. Model's score: —.181.4
- 61391The most likely outcome did not happen: 187:94Final score 87:94. Model's score: —.170.5
- 66341The most likely outcome came true: 192:74Final score 92:74. Model's score: —.162.1
- 70301The most likely outcome came true: 186:76Final score 86:76. Model's score: —.171.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →