VTB United League (basketball) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · KSK Arena
Zenit Petersburg — Saratov
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
91:71Came true
In short
Final score 91:71: the model's most likely outcome, Zenit Petersburg to win (95% incl. overtime), came true.
Zenit Petersburg are clear favourites: 95% against 5% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 89:69 — 158 points in total.
Over 157.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Zenit Petersburg +11.7, Saratov −7.4 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Zenit Petersburg — Saratov | 89.2–68.5 | |
| Total over 157.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 157.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Zenit Petersburg points
- Saratov points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 07.10Parma Perm99:85
- 04.10away · Unics Kazan60:95
- 25.09Uralmash Ekaterinburg92:68
- 12.06Lokomotiv Kuban76:84
- 09.06away · Lokomotiv Kuban85:91
- 06.10away · Enisey74:72
- 30.09Uralmash Ekaterinburg75:80
- 26.09Samara77:69
- 22.04away · Uralmash Ekaterinburg54:86
- 15.04Parma Perm60:73
Head to head
- 02.04.2026Saratov — Zenit Petersburg64:95
- 27.01.2026Zenit Petersburg — Saratov105:79
- 11.01.2026Saratov — Zenit Petersburg62:75
- 01.10.2025Zenit Petersburg — Saratov90:67
- 16.03.2025Zenit Petersburg — Saratov91:68
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Unics Kazan | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Zenit Petersburg | 3 | 1 | .750 | 0.5 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Lokomotiv Kuban | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Parma Perm | 2 | 2 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Saratov | 2 | 2 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Dynamo Vladivostok | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
Next matches
- Lokomotiv KubanSaratov14 October · VTB United League9371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —162.6
- Lokomotiv KubanZenit Petersburg18 October · VTB United League48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —171.6
VTB United League on the same day
- 80201The most likely outcome came true: 187:84Final score 87:84. Model's score: —.175.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 95% will not happen in roughly 5 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →