VTB United League (basketball) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK

Lokomotiv Kuban — Saratov

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Model prediction for 14 October

Lokomotiv Kuban93%
Saratov7%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Lokomotiv Kuban are clear favourites: 93% against 7% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:72 — 163 points in total.

Over 162.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Lokomotiv Kuban +9.4, Saratov −7.3 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Lokomotiv Kuban — Saratov90.5–72.1
Total over 162.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 162.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Lokomotiv Kuban points
  • Saratov points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Lokomotiv Kuban

  • 11.10away · CSKA Moscow84:87
  • 03.10MBA Moscow92:87
  • 27.09Enisey81:66
  • 12.06away · Zenit Petersburg84:76
  • 09.06Zenit Petersburg91:85

Saratov

  • 11.10away · Zenit Petersburg71:91
  • 06.10away · Enisey74:72
  • 30.09Uralmash Ekaterinburg75:80
  • 26.09Samara77:69
  • 22.04away · Uralmash Ekaterinburg54:86

Head to head

  • 15.03.2026Lokomotiv Kuban — Saratov87:69
  • 01.02.2026Saratov — Lokomotiv Kuban76:78
  • 28.12.2025Lokomotiv Kuban — Saratov88:65
  • 29.10.2025Saratov — Lokomotiv Kuban67:91
  • 29.03.2025Saratov — Lokomotiv Kuban72:84

Full record: 18 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsZenit Petersburg431.7500.5
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLokomotiv Kuban321.6671
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsParma Perm422.5001.5
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSaratov422.5001.5
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsDynamo Vladivostok211.5001.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

VTB United League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 93% will not happen in roughly 7 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →