Swiss National League (hockey) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Ambri-Piotta — Biel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ambri-Piotta are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ambri-Piotta — Biel | 2.8–2.7 | |
| Ambri-Piotta to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Biel to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Ambri-Piotta
- Ambri-Piotta goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10Bern1:2 OT
- 03.10away · Fribourg2:1
- 01.10Langnau Tigers1:5
- 29.09Davos0:3
- 26.09away · Lugano5:3
Head to head
- 22.09.2026Biel — Ambri-Piotta3:4
- 15.01.2026Biel — Ambri-Piotta3:2 OT
- 29.11.2025Ambri-Piotta — Biel5:4 SO
- 01.11.2025Ambri-Piotta — Biel3:1
- 20.09.2025Biel — Ambri-Piotta3:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lausanne | 11 | 4 | -4 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Ambri-Piotta | 10 | 4 | -6 | 15 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Bern | 9 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 12 | Rapperswil-Jona | 11 | 2 | -14 | 11 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Biel | 10 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | EHC Kloten | 11 | 2 | -17 | 9 |
National League on the same day
- BernZurichpreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6
- EHC KlotenAjoiepreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
- FribourgDavospreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
- LausanneLangnau Tigerspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
- Rapperswil-JonaServettepreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- ZugLuganopreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →