KHL · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Avangard Omsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk

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Model prediction for 18 October

Avangard Omsk44%
Draw in regulation23%
Tractor Chelyabinsk33%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Avangard Omsk are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Avangard Omsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Avangard Omsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk2.5–2.2
Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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Form

Avangard Omsk

  • 10.10away · Barys Astana1:5
  • 08.10away · Niznekamsk1:0
  • 06.10away · Yekaterinburg0:4
  • 02.10Lada4:1
  • 28.09Magnitogorsk1:5

Tractor Chelyabinsk

  • 10.10Novosibirsk1:2
  • 08.10Khabarovsk0:2
  • 06.10Khabarovsk1:2
  • 02.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
  • 30.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2

Head to head

  • 20.09.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Avangard Omsk2:1
  • 15.02.2026Avangard Omsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk6:2
  • 29.01.2026Avangard Omsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk1:0
  • 18.01.2026Tractor Chelyabinsk — Avangard Omsk2:5
  • 13.11.2025Avangard Omsk — Tractor Chelyabinsk3:2

Full record: 49 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
18Novosibirsk1553733–45-1213
19Avangard Omsk1360722–34-1212
20Tractor Chelyabinsk1350824–33-910
21Sochi14301119–49-306

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

KHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →